What to verify before the story gets exciting
Most bad research starts with assumptions that never get written down. Use this section to force discipline before you let the upside case take over.
Anchor the work in is this a real demand cycle, or a channel refill that will unwind in two quarters
Check this off only after you have a specific answer. Generic sector commentary is not diligence.
Why it matters
AI and reshoring have created real opportunity, but they also make it easier to confuse cyclical spikes with durable structural winners.
When it matters
Use it before initiating, adding, or defending a position after a sharp move.
Investor take
If the answer depends on trusting management language alone, leave the box unchecked and keep digging.
Start by answering which end market actually determines the next twelve months: data center, auto, industrial, or handset
Check this off only after you have a specific answer. Generic sector commentary is not diligence.
Why it matters
AI and reshoring have created real opportunity, but they also make it easier to confuse cyclical spikes with durable structural winners.
When it matters
Use it before initiating, adding, or defending a position after a sharp move.
Investor take
If the answer depends on trusting management language alone, leave the box unchecked and keep digging.
Write down how much of current growth depends on one hyperscaler or one production node transition
Check this off only after you have a specific answer. Generic sector commentary is not diligence.
Why it matters
AI and reshoring have created real opportunity, but they also make it easier to confuse cyclical spikes with durable structural winners.
When it matters
Use it before initiating, adding, or defending a position after a sharp move.
Investor take
If the answer depends on trusting management language alone, leave the box unchecked and keep digging.
Do not skip can management protect gross margin when mix or utilization softens
Check this off only after you have a specific answer. Generic sector commentary is not diligence.
Why it matters
AI and reshoring have created real opportunity, but they also make it easier to confuse cyclical spikes with durable structural winners.
When it matters
Use it before initiating, adding, or defending a position after a sharp move.
Investor take
If the answer depends on trusting management language alone, leave the box unchecked and keep digging.
Pressure-test are investors paying for a differentiated asset, or simply for exposure to the current theme
Check this off only after you have a specific answer. Generic sector commentary is not diligence.
Why it matters
AI and reshoring have created real opportunity, but they also make it easier to confuse cyclical spikes with durable structural winners.
When it matters
Use it before initiating, adding, or defending a position after a sharp move.
Investor take
If the answer depends on trusting management language alone, leave the box unchecked and keep digging.