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META · Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

Meta DCF Valuation: Intrinsic Value Calculator

Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) DCF model with live financials. See the pre-loaded intrinsic value estimate below, then adjust growth and discount rate assumptions in the full calculator.

DCF Snapshot

Current Price$629.86
Market Cap$1.6T
TTM Free Cash Flow$23.4B
Intrinsic Value / Share$293.78
Upside / Downside-53.4%

Assumptions

FCF Growth Rate12%
Discount Rate (WACC)10%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Projection Period10 years

These are conservative starting assumptions. Adjust them in the full calculator to test your own thesis.

What Drives Meta's DCF

Meta's DCF is anchored by the Family of Apps advertising business — Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger reach 3.3B+ daily active users. Advertising revenue exceeds $160B annually with operating margins above 40% after Meta's 2023 'year of efficiency' cost cuts. Reels monetization is closing the gap with feed ads. Key risks: Reality Labs (VR/AR) burns $15B+ per year with no clear path to profitability, regulatory pressure on data practices in the EU, and ad spend sensitivity to macro cycles. The core ads business is a cash machine; the question is how much Reality Labs destroys.