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Palantir DCF Valuation: Intrinsic Value Calculator

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) DCF model with live financials. See the pre-loaded intrinsic value estimate below, then adjust growth and discount rate assumptions in the full calculator.

DCF Snapshot

Current Price$128.06
Market Cap$306.3B
TTM Free Cash Flow$1.3B
Intrinsic Value / Share$23.89
Upside / Downside-81.3%

Assumptions

FCF Growth Rate22%
Discount Rate (WACC)12%
Terminal Growth3%
Projection Period10 years

These are conservative starting assumptions. Adjust them in the full calculator to test your own thesis.

What Drives Palantir's DCF

Palantir's DCF hinges on whether its AI Platform (AIP) can sustain commercial revenue acceleration. Government contracts (~55% of revenue) provide a stable base with high retention, while commercial revenue is growing 40%+ driven by AIP boot camps converting enterprises to paying customers. Revenue is approaching $3B annually with operating margins turning positive. Key assumptions: commercial revenue sustains 30%+ growth, government contracts grow mid-teens, and operating leverage emerges as the platform scales. A higher discount rate reflects the premium valuation, customer concentration, and dependence on the AIP growth narrative delivering at scale.