monday.com Ltd. · MNDY · 2 MIN READ

monday.com Ltd. Posts 24.5% Revenue Growth, Stock at 3-Month High

monday.com's stellar Q1 beat on AI-driven growth sent MNDY toward 3-month highs, but with 19.5% of the float still short and Amundi trimming, the move faces a credibility test at Q2 guidance.

monday.com Ltd. Posts 24.5% Revenue Growth, Stock at 3-Month High

monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) surged toward 3-month highs on a stellar Q1 beat, with AI driving 24.5% YoY revenue growth on a $1.3bn TTM base.

monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) — stock analysis
Image: Basis Report
The numbers
  • Stock tracking to 3-month highs after Q1 beat; 24.5% YoY revenue growth on $1.3bn TTM base with $248mn FCF trailing
  • 16.5x forward P/E with a ~19% FCF margin suggests the market is pricing monday.com well below what its cash generation warrants
  • Q2 revenue guidance is the deciding data point: it confirms whether AI adoption is compounding or plateauing
MNDY 90-day price and volume, May 8 to Aug 5$67.09$81.28$95.47earnings_report$91.45May 8Jun 23Aug 5
MNDY 90-day price and volume, May 8 to Aug 5. Chart: Basis Report · market data at publish.

The Multiple Nobody Is Paying For

That growth rate on a $1.3bn TTM revenue base is the number that forces a re-rating conversation. At 16.5x forward P/E, monday.com is priced closer to a steady infrastructure vendor than a platform mid-cycle through an AI product buildout, and that gap is exactly where the bull case lives. The company generated $248mn in FCF on a trailing basis, a roughly 19% FCF margin that signals genuine operating leverage rather than growth-at-any-cost accounting. That margin matters because it proves AI investment is generating real throughput, not just being capitalized onto the balance sheet. The move toward 3-month highs visible in the chart above reflects the market beginning to close the distance between valuation and fundamentals.

The Short Float Is the Counter-Argument

Nearly one in five shares of the float is sold short at 19.5%, a heavy position for a company printing at that clip and generating real FCF. That figure signals a credible bear thesis: whether it centers on the durability of the AI revenue driver, concerns about sustaining growth above 24% on that revenue base, or the risk that the multiple eventually re-rates toward the broader software median. Amundi trimmed its position into Q1 strength, which is a tell, large institutions rarely reduce winners unless the risk-reward picture is shifting. Trading systems flagging elevated volatility in MNDY add a technical note of caution to an otherwise constructive fundamental story.

The One Number That Decides This

At $91.45 with that growth rate and $248mn in FCF, monday.com carries a stronger fundamental argument than the 16.5x forward multiple implies, provided the AI catalyst is compounding rather than a one-quarter pull-forward. Growth investors get the FCF story and the valuation gap; value investors get a software name at a multiple that would be unremarkable for a flat-growth business. Track the setup at MNDY on Basis Report and watch Q2 revenue guidance closely: a meaningful deceleration from the current pace hands the 19.5% short float exactly the evidence it has been waiting for.

Pressure-test monday.com's valuation assumptions with your own numbers in the DCF calculator.

Basis Report is independent research for informational purposes. It is not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

monday.com reported a stellar Q1 earnings result with AI-driven growth, pushing MNDY toward 3-month highs.
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monday.com Ltd. Posts 24.5% Revenue Growth, Stock at 3-Month High
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